Welcome to another fun NHL DFS slate. There are some intriguing values and potential picks tonight. Once again, though ,we must remind you that this isn’t the only daily fantasy hockey tool you should use. Instead, look at this as a blueprint for my thoughts on the Thursday, October 12th slate for DraftKings and FanDuel.
Here’s a simple breakdown of how we categorize slate size.
- Small – 4 or fewer games
- Medium – 5-8 games
- Large – 9-12 games
- Super-Sized – 13-plus games
This medium-sized slate has a few options, including a late (two games) and later (three game) option for DFS players. The values listed below take into account potential points per dollar. Potential matchups, Vegas odds, advanced statistics, and much more are also factored in.
For an even bigger advantage, I recommend always asking questions on every avenue of social media possible. Medium slates can be tricky with lots of pitfalls and traps. Coming next week, there will be a “what went wrong” section about what caused people most to tilt on their lineups.
If you are looking for even more advice and insight, please check me out on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS. Let’s get to the picks.
Thursday NHL DFS Picks: Center values
Bo Horvat, Vancouver vs Winnipeg (DraftKings $5,000, FanDuel $5,000)
Again, Thursday features a ton of higher profile options. Wednesday had some, as well, but the later games proved to be quite profitable if one chooses wisely. Horvat followed up a two-goal first game with a respectable four-shot effort against Ottawa. The center should not be highly owned especially with guys like Crosby, Seguin, Malkin, and Stamkos on the slate alone.
With the seven-game slate, there is a enough room to set up a few different lineups that are outside the limits of being safe. Horvat has been asked to be more of an offensive force given the age of Henrik and Daniel Sedin. Yes, those two players are dynamic but they cannot do it all alone.
The good news is there are several other options as far as value on Thursday night. Horvat is more of a GPP play and an on-the-edge cash choice.
Other Options: Jack Eichel, Brayden Point, Derek Stepan, Nick Schmaltz (IF he plays), Paul Stastny
Crazy Value Possible: Christian Dvorak, Tomas Hertl, Yanni Gourde (FanDuel only)
Thursday Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks: Winger values
Evander Kane, Buffalo @ San Jose (DraftKings $6,300, FanDuel $6,000)
Watch to see how San Jose tries to contain Kane, as he has been getting his shots in the early going. He has 26 in the first three games alone. The risk is that he is due for a bit of a dud. That is quite possible. Even on Monday, the one thing noticeable was how fast Kane was up and down the ice. San Jose could have problems with that speed and his ability to shield off defenders on the rush.
Buffalo has struggled mightily out of the gate, including allowing six goals to New Jersey of all teams at home. The one shining spot has been Kane. Some will remember a snippet of Buffalo’s historical success in San Jose. However, Kane could still be moderately owned by those looking for something that simply just sticks out.
Nik Ehlers is another one of those wingers that could sneak up on people tonight if one feels that Kane could be too high profile.
Other Options: Filip Forsberg, Brandon Saad/Richard Panik, Jaden Schwartz, Radim Vrbata, Nino Niederreiter (GPP only), Max Domi
Crazy Value Possible: Alex DeBrincat, Mattias Janmark, Tobias Rieder, Sam Gagner (very high risk)
Thursday NHL DFS Advice: Defensemen picks, values
John Klingberg, Dallas @ Nashville (DraftKings $5,600, FanDuel $5,800)
Choices are plenty among defensemen on Thursday night. Money can be saved at the center position to spend a bit more on the blueline. The chic or chalk pick may be Alex Pietrangelo and rightfully so. However, Klingberg could argued to be almost as chalky, and yet the temptation is to go with it anyway.
The defenseman has looked great in the early going, and Nashville gave up six goals to Pittsburgh and five more to Philadelphia. Chemistry-wise, team defense is not quite the same on Nashville (the Ryan Ellis injury hurts). Nashville’s bottom two pairings have been among the worst in giving up scoring chances the first week. Also, Dallas has been more like its “Team Fun” self. This is a game with too much hype to not have at least a little bit of exposure to it. The key in medium slates is not to have the wrong players tied into stacks, etc. For cash lineups, Klingberg should be more than decent enough.
Other Options: Alex Pietrangelo, P.K. Subban (watch to see if Josi plays), Mike Green, Justin Schultz (moderate risk), Victor Hedman
Crazy Value Possible: Josh Morrissey (First line power play), Jan Ruuta, Julius Honka (if he plays – high risk), Carl Gunnarson
Thursday Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice: Goalie picks, values
Antti Raanta, Arizona vs Detroit (DraftKings $7,500, FanDuel $7,500)
Raanta was the one that got away on us Tuesday night. This is one of those slates where there will be co-favorites to try. The goalie was shelled in Las Vegas and did not last seven minutes. It was ugly in every way, as Raanta did not even have a chance to get back to zero points even. Negatives hurt in DFS, and Tuesday, it was extra painful given the scoring. Every Raanta lineup I had barely cashed because of it. One would have easily taken down a GPP.
It is essential to sometimes not have a bias against a player that burned you. The toughest thing in fantasy sports is to go back to a goalie who had an awful night. Goalie is a lot like pitcher in daily fantasy baseball. This is one tough position to pick always. Just when one thinks they have this figured out, they find out they don’t.
Raanta is subject to confirmation, but Connor Hellebuyck could be an interesting high-risk GPP play on Thursday. Vancouver has performed above expectations, but so did Hellebuyck against Edmonton (37 saves on 39 shots). Saving a little here could be beneficial in other places. Vancouver should get enough shots on net to make this a decent pick at least. Yes, the risk is elevated.
Other Options: Corey Crawford, Jacob Markstrom (moderate risk), Martin Jones (high risk – cash only), Roberto Luongo (Dangerous)
Article source: http://www.sportingnews.com/fantasy/sport/news/nhl-dfs-picks-strategy-advice-daily-fantasy-hockey-thursday-october-12-draftkings-fanduel-sleepers-values-gpp-tournaments-cash-games/2szb5zm6s2sq17xbj3a1tdqwp